What Changed and Why It Matters
Gaming and sports betting are moving UA from ad network heuristics to AI-run decisioning. Teams are wiring first‑party data into models that decide who to target, what creative to serve, which incentive to offer, and how much to bid—continuously.
Why now: privacy headwinds killed easy targeting, CPI inflation squeezed margins, and model costs fell. Publishers with large, high-frequency data now have leverage. The growth stack is turning into an operating system that allocates spend, personalizes experiences, and manages risk in real time.
The future of UA isn’t a dashboard. It’s a decision engine.
The Actual Move
Here’s what the ecosystem is actually doing:
- AI decisioning on top of unified data. Hightouch outlines gaming and betting teams using AI agents to drive growth, protect margins, and retain customers by activating first‑party data across channels.
- AI-optimized UA and creative. Upptic points to AI tools that optimize placements and personalize acquisition, while warning about black‑box opacity and the need for trustable reporting.
- GenAI for betting accuracy and engagement. WSC Sports highlights AI’s role in improving prediction accuracy, personalization, and content across fan touchpoints in 2025.
- Faster game pipelines and UA feedback loops. Montage Ventures notes AI is accelerating stages of game development and tightening the build–measure–learn loop.
- First‑party data as the edge. Forbes reports more mobile game publishers are harnessing AI to control UA end‑to‑end using their own data—pushing beyond dependence on ad networks.
- Betting agents for pricing and risk. Biz4Group details AI agents for real‑time odds, automation, and intelligent risk management—core levers for operators.
- Operators cutting fixed costs with AI. DraftKings told investors it’s integrating AI to enhance efficiency, reduce fixed costs, and ship product features that compound growth.
- A creative arms race. IT Brief Asia describes AI and UA funding accelerating ad testing; creative velocity has become a meta-game.
- Distribution shift playbook. Brian Balfour explains the broader AI distribution shift: product is not enough—control of channels and feedback loops wins.
- Smarter gambling ads. Techloy shows ML modulating ad strategies as user preferences shift, improving conversion and campaign efficiency.
Here’s the part most people miss: the growth stack is becoming an operating system—data in, decisions out, continuously.
The Why Behind the Move
Founders should read this shift through the system, not the silo.
• Model
First‑party data trained models run LTV prediction, churn risk, bonus sensitivity, and fraud signals. Decisions flow into bidding, creatives, offers, and CRM.
• Traction
Signals across sources point to better accuracy, personalization, and engagement when AI decisioning drives spend and creative rotation.
• Valuation / Funding
Budgets are moving from manual UA and static tooling to data infrastructure, training loops, and creative automation. The spend reallocation is the story.
• Distribution
Publishers with direct traffic, owned CRM, and frequent gameplay events have the advantage. They can learn faster and act faster.
• Partnerships & Ecosystem Fit
Data activation platforms (e.g., Hightouch) and creative/ad optimization tools plug into the same loop. Betting operators integrate agentic systems for odds and risk.
• Timing
Post-ATT signal loss, rising CPIs, and cheap foundation models created the window. 2024–2025 is the tipping point.
• Competitive Dynamics
- Creative velocity vs. creative quality is a trade. Speed wins when guided by tight LTV feedback.
- Black‑box network optimizers clash with in‑house decisioning. Expect hybrid stacks.
• Strategic Risks
Regulatory and responsible gaming requirements, model opacity, bias, and overfitting to near‑term signals. Teams need monitoring, guardrails, and human-in-the-loop controls.
The moat isn’t the model. It’s the data, the loop, and the distribution.
What Builders Should Notice
- Treat UA as decisioning, not reporting. Close the loop from data to action.
- Own first‑party data and identity. It compounds into prediction power.
- Ship creative faster—but tie it to LTV, not CTR.
- Build human-in-the-loop ops. AI sets the default, humans set the guardrails.
- Partner where commoditized, insource where differentiated.
Buildloop reflection
Every durable growth curve hides a feedback loop someone decided to own.
Sources
- Hightouch — How AI Decisioning is Transforming Gaming (3 Use Cases)
- Upptic — 2024 in Gaming: Market Shifts, UA Evolution, Creative …
- WSC Sports — AI Sports Betting Revolution: How GenAI Is Generating 300 …
- Montage Ventures — AI’s Unlock in Interactive Content and Gaming
- Forbes — AI Powers User Acquisition—And Mobile Game Publishers …
- Biz4Group — A Guide on Sports Betting AI Agent Development
- Investing.com — DraftKings at 2025 BofA Conference: AI and Growth Strategy
- IT Brief Asia — The creative arms race: How AI and UA funding is …
- Brian Balfour — How To Navigate The AI Distribution Shift
- Techloy — AI-Powered Gambling Ads: How Machine Learning …
